Itapipoca vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 1
ITA
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 1
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
GUA
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 3
GUA
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 5
TIR
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 3
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |