Itapipoca vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
65.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
HOR
18%
22%
59%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
55%
24%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
TIR
24%
25%
52%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 3
ITA
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 4
FOR
26%
24%
49%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
6 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 3
FOR
19%
23%
59%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |