Itapipoca vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 1
ITA
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
TIR
63%
20%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 0
FOR
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRB
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ARN
4 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAM
58%
22%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |