Itapipoca vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
ITA
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 0
FER
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
ICA
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 0
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
FER
1 - 3
FOR
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 0
QUI
79%
14%
8%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
FOR
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 2
ICA
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |