Itapipoca vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
QUI
38%
25%
36%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 4
ITA
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
TIR
0 - 3
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
FOR
13%
19%
68%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 2
HOR
17%
20%
63%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 1
ICA
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 0
CRA
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |