Itapipoca vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 2
ITA
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
HOR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
TIR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 1
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
AMF
0 - 0
CEA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |