Itapipoca vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
TIR
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIM
3 - 1
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 2
FER
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CEA
3 - 1
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 2
CEA
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
CEA
35%
25%
39%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 1
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
QUI
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |