Itapemirim vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
ITA
30%
23%
47%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RVV
0 - 0
ITA
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ITA
3 - 1
LIN
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RIO
3 - 2
ITA
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
SER
3 - 0
LIN
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
SER
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SER
0 - 2
VIT
41%
24%
36%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
REA
0 - 0
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
BRA
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |