Itapemirim vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 2
PAY
16%
19%
65%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UBE
1 - 0
ITA
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
LUV
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
UBE
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
AME
2 - 2
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
5 - 0
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
PAL
10%
18%
72%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |