Italien vs Yverdon Sport II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
14º
14º
61
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ODG
2 - 4
ITA
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 1
VEY
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
ITA
34%
21%
45%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 3
FCA
35%
21%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ECH
5 - 2
ITA
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Yverdon Sport II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
YVE
1 - 1
FOO
89%
8%
3%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PLO
1 - 4
YVE
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
YVE
1 - 2
LAN
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
STA
1 - 3
YVE
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ODG
1 - 0
YVE
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |