Italien vs Thierrens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
14º
14º
24
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UGS
2 - 1
ITA
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
COL
59%
18%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SBC
6 - 1
ITA
37%
22%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 2
PFO
50%
21%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 2
PLO
89%
8%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
THI
1 - 1
FOO
62%
18%
20%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PLO
4 - 0
THI
80%
13%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
THI
2 - 5
LAN
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
YVE
3 - 2
THI
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THI
1 - 2
ODG
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |