Italien vs Schaffhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
73.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schaffhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
YVE
1 - 1
SCH
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 0
FRI
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KRI
1 - 7
SCH
32%
25%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 6
SCH
34%
26%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SIO
1 - 1
SCH
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |