Italy U19 vs Switzerland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 1
ARM
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
HUN
0 - 1
ITA
15%
19%
66%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
ITA
57%
21%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 0
ITA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Switzerland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SUI
1 - 2
HUN
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
SUI
4 - 0
ARM
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
ISR
2 - 0
SUI
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SUI
0 - 2
ITA
24%
22%
54%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SUI
1 - 4
TUR
23%
20%
57%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |