Italy U19 vs Sweden U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 1
CRO
53%
23%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
MLT
0 - 2
ITA
8%
17%
75%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 1
MNE
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 1
ITA
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 2
GRC
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
ISR
1 - 0
SWE
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SWE
3 - 1
MKD
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
68%
18%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 1
CRO
37%
25%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
ITA
5 - 2
SWE
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |