Italy U19 vs Russia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
TUR
5 - 1
ITA
44%
23%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
UKR
0 - 1
ITA
44%
24%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
BEL
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BLR
1 - 1
ITA
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 0
ALB
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Russia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
RUS
1 - 2
UKR
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
TUR
2 - 1
RUS
48%
22%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 1
WAL
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 3
RUS
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
RUS
0 - 0
SVN
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |