Italy U19 vs Czech Republic U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
ITA
5 - 1
LIE
92%
6%
1%
|
57 | 6 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 1
ITA
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 2
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ITA
3 - 1
GEO
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Czech Republic U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CZE
3 - 0
ENG
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
CZE
1 - 4
AUT
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
FRA
3 - 3
CZE
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
BEL
0 - 0
CZE
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
GER
1 - 2
CZE
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |