Italy U19s vs Portugal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
SRB
0 - 2
ITA
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 1
UKR
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 2
BEL
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
DNK
0 - 1
ITA
21%
20%
60%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 0
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
SCT
0 - 4
PRT
8%
13%
80%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PRT
3 - 0
TUR
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
PRT
3 - 0
CYP
87%
10%
3%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 4
PRT
36%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
UKR
0 - 5
PRT
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |