Italy U19 vs Portugal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
AUT
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
GER
0 - 1
ITA
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 2
TUR
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SUI
0 - 2
ITA
24%
22%
54%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ISR
0 - 4
ITA
23%
22%
55%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
GER
3 - 4
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
AUT
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SVN
1 - 3
POR
10%
15%
75%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
RUS
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
POR
4 - 0
SWE
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |