Italy U19 vs Portugal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 2
NIR
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 0
CZE
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
IRL
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SMR
0 - 4
ITA
4%
13%
83%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
ITA
5 - 0
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
HUN
2 - 3
POR
35%
24%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
GRC
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
ROU
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
POR
3 - 0
MKD
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |