Italy U19s vs Poland U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
PRT
5 - 1
ITA
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MLT
0 - 4
ITA
5%
16%
80%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 2
BEL
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SVN
0 - 0
ITA
17%
20%
62%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 3
ITA
57%
22%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
MLT
0 - 2
POL
10%
20%
70%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
POL
0 - 2
PRT
8%
17%
74%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
POL
2 - 2
SRB
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
POL
3 - 0
LVA
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
ISR
1 - 1
POL
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |