Italy U19 vs Poland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
GRC
0 - 2
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
SWE
2 - 3
ITA
23%
22%
55%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
4 - 0
MDA
81%
14%
6%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
SWE
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CZE
0 - 0
POL
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
POL
0 - 2
GER
8%
13%
80%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
POL
3 - 0
BLR
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
NIR
1 - 2
POL
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
POL
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |