Italy U19s vs Malta U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
ARM
0 - 4
ITA
10%
20%
70%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 3
PRT
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
SRB
0 - 2
ITA
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 1
UKR
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Malta U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
MLT
2 - 1
LTU
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
MLT
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
MLT
89%
9%
2%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
MLT
1 - 5
HUN
12%
18%
70%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SVN
5 - 0
MLT
74%
17%
10%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |