Italy U19 vs Lithuania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
4 - 1
ARM
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
ITA
4 - 0
MDA
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2001 |
POR
2 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
BLR
0 - 2
ITA
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 3
SVK
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ENG
2 - 1
LTU
7%
17%
76%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
LTU
1 - 1
ENG
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
CYP
0 - 2
LTU
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
LTU
1 - 0
RUS
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |