Italy U19 vs Liechtenstein U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 2
ISR
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 3
RUS
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
TUR
5 - 1
ITA
44%
23%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
UKR
0 - 1
ITA
44%
24%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
BEL
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
DEN
2 - 0
LIE
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
EST
3 - 0
LIE
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
LIE
0 - 5
NOR
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
SCO
7 - 0
LIE
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
LVA
4 - 0
LIE
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |