Italy U19 vs Israel U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 3
RUS
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
TUR
5 - 1
ITA
44%
23%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
UKR
0 - 1
ITA
44%
24%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
BEL
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BLR
1 - 1
ITA
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Israel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
LVA
3 - 5
ISR
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ISR
0 - 5
POR
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 1
ISR
78%
14%
7%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
ISR
1 - 1
IRL
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
POR
7 - 1
ISR
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |