Italy U19 vs Finland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 2
GER
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SVN
1 - 3
ITA
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
3 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 0
LTU
86%
11%
3%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
SVK
0 - 3
ITA
28%
24%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Finland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
FIN
1 - 3
BEL
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MLT
0 - 1
FIN
13%
20%
67%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
UKR
2 - 1
FIN
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
FIN
3 - 1
POL
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
FRO
1 - 1
FIN
13%
21%
67%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |