Italy U19s vs Estonia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
17%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.8%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.3%
1.9%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
FRA
4 - 1
ITA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SVK
0 - 1
ITA
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 1
ROU
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 2
ITA
34%
25%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
BLR
21%
23%
57%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HUN
2 - 0
EST
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
AUT
4 - 0
EST
86%
11%
4%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
EST
0 - 7
SVN
14%
22%
65%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SWE
4 - 0
EST
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |