Italy U19s vs Estonia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
ITA
2 - 0
POR
49%
24%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
ITA
1 - 0
CZE
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
ITA
5 - 1
LIE
92%
6%
1%
|
56 | 5 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 1
ITA
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
3 - 1
EST
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
SUI
5 - 0
EST
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
EST
1 - 4
DEN
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2001 |
POL
3 - 0
EST
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
EST
1 - 6
WAL
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |