Italy U19 vs Spain U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UKR
3 - 2
ITA
31%
26%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
NIR
0 - 3
ITA
11%
20%
70%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
5 - 0
GEO
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CZE
1 - 2
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Spain U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 2
FRA
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 1
ESP
19%
23%
59%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 2
ESP
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
AUT
1 - 2
ESP
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
KOS
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |