Italy U19 vs Croatia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
MLT
0 - 2
ITA
8%
17%
75%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 1
MNE
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 1
ITA
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 2
GRC
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
ITA
5 - 2
SWE
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 1
ITA
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 1
CRO
37%
25%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 2
GRC
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SRB
2 - 2
CRO
52%
23%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |