Italy U19 vs Bosnia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 2
EST
90%
8%
2%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
FRA
4 - 1
ITA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SVK
0 - 1
ITA
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 1
ROU
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
BIH
0 - 2
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
BIH
1 - 2
FRA
9%
17%
74%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BIH
3 - 2
SWE
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CZE
0 - 1
BIH
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
MNE
0 - 4
BIH
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |