Italy U19 vs Belgium U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
ITA
0 - 1
UKR
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
23%
23%
54%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 1
CZE
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
BLR
1 - 4
ITA
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
ITA
2 - 0
ISR
75%
15%
9%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
SUI
2 - 0
BEL
26%
24%
51%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 0
UKR
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 0
SRB
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
NOR
0 - 1
BEL
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
IRL
0 - 1
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |