Italy U19 vs Armenia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
ITA
4 - 0
MDA
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2001 |
POR
2 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
BLR
0 - 2
ITA
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
ESP
6 - 0
ARM
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
ARM
0 - 6
ESP
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
SUI
3 - 1
ARM
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
ARM
0 - 4
SUI
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |