Italy U19 vs Germany U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
ITA
1 - 0
HUN
64%
20%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
ITA
4 - 3
CZE
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
ENG
0 - 0
ITA
32%
24%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2008 |
GRC
1 - 1
ITA
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
FRA
0 - 2
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Germany U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
GER
2 - 1
CZE
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
HUN
1 - 2
GER
26%
24%
51%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
GER
3 - 0
BGR
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2008 |
GER
2 - 1
ESP
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
SVK
2 - 5
GER
26%
24%
51%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |