Italy U19 vs Albania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
ITA
4 - 1
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
ITA
40%
24%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 2
ITA
17%
20%
63%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Albania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 0
MLT
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 0
ALB
74%
16%
9%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
DEN
1 - 0
ALB
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 0
CYP
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
ALB
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |