Italy U23 vs Poland U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1992 |
ITA
2 - 1
USA
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1984 |
CRC
1 - 0
ITA
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1984 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
51%
25%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 1984 |
ITA
1 - 0
EGY
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1971 |
ITA
0 - 1
DDR
15%
20%
65%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Poland U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1992 |
POL
2 - 0
KWT
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |