Italy U21 vs Turkey U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
LVA
83%
13%
5%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IRL
2 - 2
ITA
16%
22%
63%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 7
ITA
5%
13%
82%
|
77 | 13 | 64 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
ITA
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 1
GEO
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 1
SVN
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LVA
2 - 1
TUR
11%
19%
70%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
TUR
5 - 0
SMR
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 13 | 47 | 0 |