Italy U21 vs Switzerland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
WAL
1 - 2
ITA
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1997 |
ITA
0 - 1
ENG
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
GEO
2 - 0
ITA
13%
22%
65%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1997 |
ITA
1 - 1
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1997 |
POL
1 - 1
ITA
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
SUI
1 - 1
GER
21%
25%
55%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1997 |
GER
2 - 2
SUI
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
SUI
0 - 0
FRA
18%
24%
59%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
NOR
4 - 1
SUI
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
SUI
2 - 1
FIN
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |