Italy U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
SRB
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
DEN
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 1
SVK
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
CZE
0 - 1
ITA
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
SWE
4 - 1
ALB
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
FIN
0 - 0
SWE
15%
22%
62%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 6
SWE
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
SWE
2 - 0
RUS
55%
23%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |