Italy U21 vs Romania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
HUN
0 - 3
ITA
15%
23%
62%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 0
MEX
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
CZE
1 - 2
ITA
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2000 |
TUR
1 - 3
ITA
15%
24%
61%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 1
SVK
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Romania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
ROU
3 - 0
LTU
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
GER
1 - 1
ROU
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
HUN
1 - 2
ROU
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
POR
1 - 1
ROU
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
ROU
2 - 3
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |