Italy U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2002 |
GER
2 - 1
ITA
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2002 |
ITA
2 - 3
FRA
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2002 |
ENG
1 - 1
ITA
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
ITA
2 - 0
USA
81%
14%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
ITA
0 - 2
HUN
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
POR
4 - 0
EST
86%
10%
3%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
CYP
1 - 0
POR
15%
22%
64%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
ESP
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
POR
7 - 0
CYP
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2001 |
IRL
0 - 1
POR
18%
23%
60%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |