Italy U21 vs Mexico U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
CZE
1 - 2
ITA
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2000 |
TUR
1 - 3
ITA
15%
24%
61%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 1
SVK
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 0
ENG
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 0
CZE
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1992 |
ESP
3 - 0
MEX
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |