Italy U21 vs Morocco U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
HUN
2 - 6
ITA
11%
19%
70%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
ITA
4 - 1
SVN
72%
20%
9%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 0
ITA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
GER
31%
25%
45%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2007 |
NED
0 - 2
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
GER
2 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +4 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESP
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 0
MAR
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |