Italy U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
11%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
ROU
0 - 1
ITA
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2001 |
ITA
4 - 1
AUT
85%
12%
4%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
ITA
5 - 0
SVN
83%
13%
5%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
ITA
3 - 2
GEO
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 1
ROU
79%
14%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
HUN
4 - 1
LTU
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
LTU
0 - 1
HUN
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
LTU
2 - 1
GEO
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
ROU
3 - 0
LTU
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
SCO
1 - 2
LTU
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |