Italy U21 vs Latvia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IRL
2 - 2
ITA
16%
22%
63%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 7
ITA
5%
13%
82%
|
78 | 14 | 64 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
ITA
19%
23%
58%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LVA
0 - 0
ITA
6%
15%
80%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
AZE
1 - 0
LVA
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LVA
2 - 1
TUR
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LVA
1 - 2
IRL
11%
20%
70%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
7 - 0
LVA
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LVA
0 - 0
ITA
6%
15%
80%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | +1 |