Italy U21 vs Faroe Islands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
16%
2-1
7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
ITA
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 1
CZE
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
ENG
2 - 2
ITA
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2007 |
SRB
1 - 0
ITA
14%
22%
65%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Faroe Islands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 0
FRO
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 0
FRO
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |