Italy U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 0
CZE
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
ESP
3 - 0
ITA
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 0
SWE
73%
16%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FRA
1 - 1
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
POL
3 - 1
ENG
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
ENG
5 - 0
LUX
84%
12%
3%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1999 |
BGR
0 - 1
ENG
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
ENG
3 - 0
SWE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
ENG
5 - 0
POL
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |