Italy U21 vs Hungary U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
LTU
0 - 3
ITA
10%
21%
70%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
ITA
1 - 1
YUG
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2001 |
GEO
0 - 2
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
ITA
2 - 0
BLR
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
ITA
1 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
3%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
HUN
1 - 3
ROU
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
GEO
0 - 2
HUN
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
HUN
2 - 1
GEO
58%
22%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2001 |
ROU
1 - 0
HUN
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
HUN
4 - 1
LTU
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |