Italy U21 vs Finland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
ITA
1 - 0
ENG
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2002 |
ITA
0 - 3
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
WAL
1 - 2
ITA
9%
20%
72%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
4 - 1
SYM
86%
11%
4%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
AZE
0 - 3
ITA
9%
20%
71%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
SYM
3 - 3
FIN
46%
23%
31%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
FIN
3 - 0
AZE
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
FIN
2 - 1
WAL
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
GER
2 - 0
FIN
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
FIN
0 - 3
GRC
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |