U21 EC Qualifying Repesca Final
Global 4-2
Italy U21 vs Slovakia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
CZE
0 - 1
ITA
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SVK
1 - 1
ITA
18%
23%
59%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
7 - 1
CYP
81%
15%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 2
SRB
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ROU
2 - 1
ITA
17%
24%
59%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Slovakia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SVK
1 - 1
ITA
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
NED
0 - 1
SVK
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SVK
1 - 1
SCO
51%
24%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
SWE
1 - 0
SVK
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
SVK
3 - 1
CZE
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |